Comment Of The Day

Well….these are two VERY different types of numbers

I would argue that a three point lead in voter polling SHOULD lead to a 60-40 lead in wagering because with a three point polling lead you are statistically favored to win 60% of the time.

I’d assume that if the polling was coming in at 55-40, the wagering odds would be around 95-5.

Originally posted as a comment by andyswan on A VC using Disqus.