There's No Such Thing As A Crystal Ball

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I was asked to speak to a group of entrepreneurs later this week. I agreed to do it and asked them what they wanted me to talk about. I got this response:

this group would find it particularly interesting to hear from Fred about the technologies and technology strategies that he thinks will be especially significant moving forward.

I thought about that for a second and decided that I'd talk about the exact opposite. I don't know what the future will hold any more than anyone else. There is no such thing as a crystal ball and I can assure you that I don't have one.

So the title of my talk will be "There's No Such Thing As A Crystal Ball" and I will talk about what I do and what every great entrepreneur I've ever worked with does to figure out what bets to make. It starts with getting your hands dirty and engaging deeply with the leading edge products and services that are in your market.

I am fortunate that the leading edge products and services that are in my market are social media and web based services that are filled with people who are doing the very same things I am doing. And so I get to do this in parallel with all of you and exchange notes.

That process leads me forward and informs the bets I want to make and who I want to make them with.

I'll put together the deck tomorrow morning and post it on slideshare and let you all check it out.

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